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Taiwan / US / Korea · Chips & Networking

Leading-Edge Chipmaking (Foundry)

One company produces almost all leading-edge AI logic. N3/N2 capacity is allocated years ahead and every new fab is a multi-year, tens-of-billions bet.

EUV + tools→Wafer starts→Leading-node logic→Packaging
84
Tightness score ⓘ
#6 of 56
▲ Tightening
Supply concentration5
Lead time5
Capex intensity5
Geopolitical exposure5
Pricing power5
Lead time
24–36 mo
Theme 1M
−24.4%
% in uptrend
0%
Metric to watch

TSMC monthly revenue, N2 ramp commentary, and capex guidance revisions.

What would prove us wrong

Weakens if leading-node utilisation falls while packaging and HBM stay loose — logic would no longer bind.

Foundry theme performance

Equal-weight · rebased 100 · 1Y
Stocks we track

Who controls this bottleneck

Roles, not recommendations. Delayed prices; local currency.

StockRoleListingLast1D1M3MYTDOff 52w highTrendNext earnings
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor
Leading-node foundry and CoWoS packaging chokepoint NYSE
Taiwan
$406.1 −5.95% −11.6% +0.3% +34.7% −16.4% 2027-01-14
INTC
Intel
US foundry rebuild with advanced-packaging optionality NASDAQ
US
$65.76 −28.58% −45.2% −27.7% +78.2% −53.3% 2027-01-28
005930.KS
Samsung Electronics
HBM, DRAM and foundry across memory and logic KRX
Korea
₩225,000 −3.02% −17.4% +2.3% +88.2% −37.9% 2027-01-27
GFS
GlobalFoundries
Specialty-node foundry incl. silicon photonics NASDAQ
US
$41.90 −8.62% −13.9% −16.0% +20.5% −53.2% 2026-11-04
UMC
United Microelectronics
Mature-node foundry and interposer capacity NYSE
Taiwan
$16.68 −7.54% −33.8% −10.8% +116.0% −39.4% 2027-01-27