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China / US / Thailand · Chips & Networking

Optical Transceivers (800G / 1.6T)

Cluster scale pushes past copper. 800G→1.6T pluggables ramp now; co-packaged optics shift value toward the switch and laser.

Laser→Module→Switch→Fabric
76
Tightness score ⓘ
#13 of 56
▲ Tightening
Supply concentration4
Lead time3
Capex intensity3
Geopolitical exposure4
Pricing power4
Lead time
6–12 mo
Theme 1M
−32.7%
% in uptrend
0%
Metric to watch

1.6T volume ramps, Innolight/Eoptolink revenue, and CPO adoption timelines.

What would prove us wrong

Weakens if transceiver ASP collapses with surplus module capacity.

Optics theme performance

Equal-weight · rebased 100 · 1Y
Stocks we track

Who controls this bottleneck

Roles, not recommendations. Delayed prices; local currency.

StockRoleListingLast1D1M3MYTDOff 52w highTrendNext earnings
COHR
Coherent
Lasers, InP capacity and optical transceivers NYSE
US
$210.3 −11.34% −34.1% −27.0% +13.9% −50.7% 2026-11-04
LITE
Lumentum
EML and CW lasers for 800G/1.6T NASDAQ
US
$840.7 −8.57% −19.6% +7.8% +128.1% −25.8% 2026-11-05
FN
Fabrinet
Precision optical manufacturing for transceivers NYSE
Thailand
$327.3 −6.13% −27.5% −28.2% −28.1% −56.1% 2026-11-02
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics
US-made optical modules and lasers NASDAQ
US
$69.05 −12.80% −35.7% −37.4% +98.1% −69.0% 2026-11-05
300308.SZ
Zhongji Innolight
Largest 800G/1.6T transceiver maker SZSE
China
¥553.0 −4.99% −40.0% −48.6% −9.1% −59.9% —
300502.SZ
Eoptolink
High-speed optical modules SZSE
China
¥196.0 −14.19% −56.6% −60.1% −36.2% −67.9% —
CIEN
Ciena
Coherent optics for data-centre interconnect NYSE
US
$320.7 −8.22% −15.4% −17.9% +37.1% −48.9% —